“While
the numbers may look good but to my mind they still represent a slowing Indian
economy. Factory output will remain subdued in India for most of this year and
maybe a year more. Even if see a rise in output, overall growth will remain
weak. To my mind RBI has almost no room to cut rates and monetary action will
not really help the economy. The inflation numbers that will come now should be
higher and would probably be the highest amongst the emerging economies. While
we talk of policy action from the government’s side, I think they too have a
very little room to make policy changes. Government cannot come with policies
that are detrimental to the nation for the sake of industry. To my mind
Industry has to do its bit in improving it productivity and efficiency. While
central banks like The Bank of Korea, the People’s Bank of China, the
European Central Bank and the Bank of England all eased monetary policy this
month the case with India is different, we have a consumer level inflation of
about 12%.”
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